Currently reading an excellent book called Blue Magic: The People, Power and Politics Behind the IBM Personal Computer, which is just what it says on the tin; highly recommended to anyone who wants to know the corporate politics behind the scenes.

It makes a curious casual remark on a related topic. End of chapter 19, p112 in the hardback edition:

But in at least one other opinion bearing on the IBM versus Apple matter, Warren Winger, chairman of a chain of computer retail outlets in Texas and Illinois, told the New York Times that IBM's strategy for its PC was obviously geared to exploit the business and scientific markets that had inexplicably not been tapped by Apple. "It appears that IBM has a better understanding of why the Apple II was successful than had Apple," Winger said.

Now I'm really curious: what did he mean by that? What did Apple fail to do that they could have done to tap the business and scientific markets? (As I understand it, the key ingredients for Apple in business were the disk drive, VisiCalc and 80-column display, all of which were in place by then?) What did Winger and IBM understand that Apple did not?

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    "Fail" assumes an intention - Are we sure Apple had that? – tofro Aug 8 at 19:38
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    @tofro It doesn't necessarily assume that - the word is also used in the context of things like failure to pay taxes, comply with regulations etc when the accused had no intention of complying - but all the talk from Steve Jobs about 'making a dent in the universe' as well as the investment from serious finance people, would certainly seem to imply a corporate intent to do as well as possible in the market, whatever Woz might have felt. – rwallace Aug 8 at 19:47
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    @tofro - the Lisa was very clearly targeted exactly at business and/or academic markets: it was a pretty powerful workstation for the day, and was sold at a price that put it out of the reach of most home users. I'd say they definitely intended to catch at least one of the two with it, but then they never really followed through. Failed seems appropriate to me. – Jules Aug 8 at 19:48
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    @Jules I was applying the question to the Apple II (It's in the quote), not the Lisa - That was a time when Apple failed to address any market properly ... – tofro Aug 8 at 19:49
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    @tofro - ah, I interpret the passage as suggesting that Apple failed to learn that the reason the Apple II had been successful was because of its open architecture, which they then didn't replicate in either the Lisa or the Mac, but which IBM did in their PC. – Jules Aug 8 at 19:54
up vote 30 down vote accepted

The Apple II was a hobbyist's computer that unexpectedly found a business niche. Apple recognised that niche in its design of 1980's Apple III. Specifically, it thought that the following were necessary changes to produce a business computer relative to the contemporaneous II+:

  • a full-ASCII keyboard, with lowercase and uppercase entry;
  • an 80-column display;
  • a much larger quantity of RAM (up to 256kb rather than 48kb);
  • a properly-rounded operating system with: expansion cards identified by name rather than location, a hierarchical filing system, support for large fixed disks, and a built-in real-time clock for time stamps; and
  • enough backwards compatibility with the II to be able to run VisiCalc and other leading business software.

So I'd actually argue the opposite: that intellectually Apple understood business-user needs.

It's the delivery that failed; initial batches of the III were extremely prone to failure, and they dragged the III brand down with them. The story is that Jobs himself insisted the machine operate without a fan, and hardware instability resulted.

The comment in the book could be an obtuse reference to the fan — silence is a very consumer-centric decision and by killing the machine, eliminated Apple's business play.

Development of the III also caused Apple temporarily to cease work on the II, believing that the market would transition; the Apple IIe wasn't introduced until 1983 so at the time of the IBM PC's introduction Apple's best-selling machine — still the II+ — suffered by:

  • offering an uppercase-only keyboard;
  • supporting only 48kb of RAM for the overwhelming majority of applications;
  • providing only a very basic disk operating system, without folders or hard disk support; and
  • providing 40-column output only, with the various third-party 80-column adaptors having no well-supported standard.

Subnote: since the quote is about whether IBM recognised "why the Apple II was successful" better than Apple did, I've discounted questions of distribution and branding from the quoted chairman's reasoning. Things inherent to IBM being a business-oriented company with deep roots and Apple being a youthful upstart with relatively ad hoc distribution would have affected the Apple II just as much as the III.

I therefore do not think that the difference in brand appeal or sales channels — as relevant as they may be to the PC's success — could possibly substantiate the claim given. They cannot be what the chairman is referring to, so they do not answer the question.

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    I think it is unrealistic that established IBM customers would have chosen an Apple /// over an IBM PC if only Apple hadn't botched its execution. Businesses buy continued relationships with established brands. Technologists rarely make these decisions. – Brian H Aug 8 at 20:59
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    @BrianH the quoted source is "chairman of a chain of computer retail outlets", so I was thinking of the sort of business custom that would go through a computer retail outlet rather than those with manufacturer agreements; it's also about IBM better understanding "why the Apple II was successful", so I also discounted distribution factors because they would apply equally to the Apple II. Which left me with technological factors. I think you're right to cite IBM's good relationships but I don't think the salesperson was referring to them. – Tommy Aug 8 at 21:06
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    @BrianH updated answer to address that issue. I appreciate you still may not agree, but I can see the benefit in being explicit now that it's been raised. – Tommy Aug 8 at 21:12
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    Cool. Of course it's difficult for us to know exactly what the salesperson was thinking. My assertion is that if he was thinking this was just an issue of the Apple ][ not offering business features, then he was wrong. There were plenty of accessories offered by 1980 to address those features, and you could even add CP/M to a ][+. – Brian H Aug 8 at 21:15
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    @BrianH - IBM's customers circa 1980 and the customers who would have bought an Apple III if the design hadn't been botched had very little overlap. IBM had never had much luck selling to small businesses, but it was the small businesses who were just starting to buy computers and were massively expanding the market. Luckily for IBM, they managed to get the timing right with the introduction of the PC, and price it right for those small businesses ... I don't doubt that if they'd left it a year later or charged much more they'd have had a much harder fight against Apple for dominance. – Jules Aug 8 at 22:58

I personally don't believe that Winger understood anything that wasn't well understood by both Apple and IBM at the time.

I would say that this passage is pointing out the confusion that Apple's approach to "computing in the workplace" bore little resemblance to IBM's well-established approach to "computing in the workplace." The commentary is attempting to dissect what is happening in two distinct markets by falsely viewing them as a single market.

You first have to remember that computing for business and scientific work was nothing new in 1980. The computing business had been around for a couple of decades already, and IBM had grown to own the largest share of that established market. In contrast, Apple was a startup in the new business of microcomputers for personal use. This was not the same market as IBM. You could certainly argue that microcomputers were already showing the promise that they'd revolutionize legacy computing by 1980, but that was much more a prognostication than an accepted fact. The typical corporate IT purchasing manager certainly had no reason to risk their job over speculation about the future of micros.

So, when IBM finally entered the microcomputer for personal use business to compete with Apple, they weren't entering it as a startup. They already had legions of loyal customers who owned IBM products for business and scientific computing. The task for IBM was to simply guide those existing customers toward microcomputer adoption. Apple had no such opportunity to market in this way because they had no such existing customer base to whom they could direct this marketing. Had Apple made an attempt to do that earlier, they would have met with much resistance from the "typical" computing user thinking something along the lines of "If this is the future of computing, then why isn't IBM selling it to me"?

Now, it is not as if Apple was blind to the opportunities for micros in business and scientific computing, just as IBM was obviously not blind to it. They were already maturing their product line to address these exact markets with the Apple /// and the Lisa. These were to be higher end products that could be marketed to traditional computing users on their capabilities. They weren't just a low-end microprocessor in a personal package; but rather sophisticated systems with state-of-the-art OS software geared toward workplace uses and not toward playing "Karateka".

Apple had every intention of leading the revolution in corporate and scientific computing and "stealing" IBM's legacy customers away from them. It didn't work out that way because IBM severely upset their Apple cart by executing rather brilliantly with a personal computer bearing their own trusted and established brand.

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    That certainly matches my understanding of the situation, but then Winger's words don't make sense: by that reckoning, contrary to Winger, Apple understood perfectly well why IBM was beating them in the traditional markets; they just couldn't do anything about it! – rwallace Aug 8 at 19:50
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    @rwallace I agree Apple "understood". I updated my answer to include Apple's aspirational responses to IBM's marketplace advantages. They tried to answer with superior products, but arguably didn't hit the target as measured by their marketshare in the years that followed. – Brian H Aug 8 at 19:56
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    Except that the Apple /// was a total disaster, design-wise, with no quality assurance or planning, and I really dispute your "state-of-the-art OS software". While the SO was somewhat "sophisticated", it lacked most of the software people actually used and its backwards compatibility was really lackluster. For a machine that was supposed to be a high-end product with a high price tag, it was a horrible piece of hardware. Apple /// being as bad as it was certainly helped IBM to push their hardware forward. – T. Sar Aug 9 at 19:45
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    I mean - you were supposed to literally pick up the system and bash it back on your table to make it run after it overheated. How stupid is that? Apple did fail to enter the business market when they designed the Apple ///. – T. Sar Aug 9 at 19:50
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    @T.Sar - my original Atari 520ST worked the same way - after long use the mobo would twist enough to unseat the chips. A couple of bangs and "the atari twist" would re-seat them. – Maury Markowitz Aug 10 at 21:29

I would say that the Apple II did tap the business and scientific markets!

From the business side, VisiCalc on Apple II was a major driving force in many businesses. One could make the case that it was responsible for the majority of the sudden explosion of bond trading in the late 1970s. The ability to easily calculate spreads across hundreds of issues was an enormous leap.

I was in the sciences, and there were Apple II's everywhere. VisiCalc was a major factor here too. Various I/O boards also added to this, although that was also true for the S-100 machines.

I don't think it's proper to say the Apple II failed, I think it's much more proper to say that the PC was simply displaced it. Its larger memory, higher speed, generally greater storage and better displays meant it could simply handle more tasks than the Apple. That it found more uses as a result should not be surprising.

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    I'd agree that a lot of the problem was the established base of old-time business procurers, combined with Apple's "Insanely Great...And Expensive" model. Remember, even stuff like TKSolver and LabView started out as Mac applications. – Carl Witthoft Aug 10 at 11:21

The Apple II was a computer targetting nerds (probably even before that term existed in its current meaning). It implied taking things apart, tinker with it and, generally "needs inside knowledge" - A corporate image entirely different to Apple today.

IBM was known as "we'll not explain or require you to understand how it works, you simply pay us (a bit more) that it works."

It's quite clear to me why commercial ("no one ever has been fired for buying IBM") and scientifical buyers (at least outside EE) preferred buying IBM. Apple had a completely non-compatible corporate image to attract buyers on the commercial and scientific markets.

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    How much "targeting" here is hindsight? AFAIK one really big problem was that Apple never had a businessplan and market research other than a 'field of dreams' vision. It was build by nerds, true, and for folks like them, true, but that pool was limited, sales quickly outgrowing these projections. – LangLangC Aug 8 at 22:15
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    As the self-appointed king nerd, I disagree with both of your statements. Woz, for example, surely preferred technical people over the general consumer. But the Apple II was clearly marketed for everybody. Jobs wanted sales. He didn't even want the open design. But Woz won out on that one. Second, IBM wasn't as closed as you suggest. Their documentation on how their system works is very good. Their open designs were inspired (copied) from Apple. The only thing really closed was their BIOS. – cbmeeks Aug 10 at 13:12
  • @cbmeeks Agree to both of your ponts, but you might have mis-understood my answer: It's not about what IBM and Apple were offering their customers, but rather what customers were expecting - Business customers weren't looking into Apple (maybe up until the Lisa) because of Apple's nerdy image, and even if IBM provided extensive technical ("nerdy") docs with the PC, most of the IBM PC Technical Manuals I came across I found still in their original plastic package, unopend. Probably the most unread technical document set ever. – tofro yesterday

Apparently one of the sticking points of Apple achieving a foothold in an IBM workplace is that Apple did not compete with IBM to completely match the professional business/scientific hardware capabilities that IBM offered.

One of the particular nitpicks had to do with parity memory. IBM offered support for it on the PC/AT and Apple did not, and so the eggheads in a business dominated by IBM could say, "We are not going to trust our critical calculations to the unchecked memory system of Apple products."

Apple did not offer support for memory parity until the development of the Macintosh IIci and Macintosh IIfx, and by this point IBM was very firmly established in the business and scientific market.

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